Dr. B o b Michigan State (-4) 3-*** NC State (-14) 3*** Wake Forest (-10 1/2) **. Purdue (+3 1/2) ** Iowa State (+19 1/2)** Temple (-13 1/2)*** Arizona (-3) **** Kent State (+3) **** Toledo (-8) *** Strong Opinion - Connecticut (+7) One of top selection. Strong Opinion - Stanford (+1) One of top selections.
Maddux #321 - NCAA - 5 units on Purdue +3.5 #332 - NCAA - 3 units on Temple -13.5 #353 - NCAA - 3 units on Georgia Tech +3 #372 - NCAA - 3 units on South Carolina -9.5 #374 - NCAA - 3 units on Arkansas +3 #399 - NCAA - 3 units on North Texas +6
Northcoast Sports's Pick Pack - Vegas Insider Premium Plays Matchup: Michigan St at Illinois Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Illinois (+4.5 -110) Line Source: ATLANTIS Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT ILLINOIS Over Michigan St - Illinois snapped a 9 game series losing streak in their last meeting (‘06, 23-20 +26!, 390-259 yd edge) and after that game the teams fought when the Illini planted a flag in Spartan Stadium. Michigan St is 4-1 ATS in the series but 3-7 ATS after facing rival Michigan. The Spartans survived a 4Q swoon to beat their rivals B2B for the 1st time S/’65-67 thanks to an int in OT for a 26-20 win in which they outrushed the B10’s top running offense (193-28). Both Spartan QB’s played again LW with Cousins (200 ypg, 62%, 7-4 ratio) seeing the majority of the snaps until inj his ankle and Nichol (94, 52%, 5-2 ratio) directed the game winning drive. MSU is #88 in pass eff D all’g a league worst 244 ypg (63%) with a 12-3 ratio. IL only trailed Penn St 7-3 at the half before the Lions scored 21 straight and outrushed the Illini 337-131. B10’s least eff passer QB Williams became IL’s total off leader but struggled again and Zook indicated a change could be made. IL is #105 in pass eff D (234, 66%, 6-2 ratio). IL has been outscored 102-26 vs FBS tms TY with all 3 TD’s scored in the 4Q of blowouts but the Illini awake from their slumber to pull the stunner. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: Boston College at Virginia Tech Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Virginia Tech (-13 -110) Line Source: M Resort Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT VIRGINIA TECH Over Boston College - In their last visit here, BC upset #8 VT on National TV with 2 Matt Ryan TD’s in the final 2:11 for the come-from-behind win. LY BC overcame 5 TO’s to beat #17 VT 28-23 in the reg ssn at home, but has dropped two straight ACC Title games to the Hokies. BC is 6-2 as an AD and VT is 6-11-1 as a HF. VT QB Taylor is avg 174 ypg (54%) with a 6-1 ratio. RB Williams is 8th in NCAA in rushing yds (575, 5.2). BC QB Shinskie, in his 2 games as a full-time starter, avg 216 ypg (60%) with a 5-1 ratio. RB Harris has 449 rush yds (4.7). Both teams stand at 4-1. VT does have the edge on both sides of the ball (off #37-66, def #18-35) but while BC has shown progress under Shinskie, however, this will only be their 2nd road game and the Eagles had just 54 yd and 4 FD in their first road game (vs Clemson) this year. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: Vanderbilt at Army Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Army (+11 -110) Line Source: ATLANTIS Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT ARMY Over Vanderbilt - Last met in ‘91. Vandy is in an SEC sandwich but needs a win to have any shot at being bowl eligible. Vandy HC Bobby Johnson is very familiar with the option from his days at Furman. Army is 2-9 as a HD. Vandy held Miss, who had been avg 36 ppg, to just 23 despite being banged up on D. QB Smith is avg 140 ypg (47%) with a 2-4 ratio. Vandy, despite being banged up at RB, is avg 195 ypg rushing led by RB Norman with 336 (6.7). Army has lost 4 straight ATS and allowed a late FG to Tulane and missed a game winning 37 yd FG with :12 left. Army was held to a season low 222 yds despite QB Steelman having a career high 95 yds rush. Army is avg 231 ypg rush, led by RB Mealy who has 303 (8.4). Vandy has a big edge on def (#29-77) which should allow them to shut down Army’s upset hopes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: Auburn at Arkansas Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Arkansas (+3 -110) Line Source: BODOG Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT ARKANSAS Over Auburn - Ark is just 2-4 SU vs Aub and hasn’t beaten AU at home S/‘01. Ark (+16’) trailed 20-10 late 3Q LY, but scored 15 pts in the final 18:02 to win 25-22 as they had a 416-193 yd edge. Ark RB Smith rushed for 176 yds (5.0) in that gm. The visitor is 6-1 SU and 4-0 ATS. This is the 2nd straight tough road gm for Aub. Aub led Tenn 23-6 in the 4Q and UT scored a TD with no time left to make the gm seem closer than it was (26-22). Ark crushed TX A&M 47-19 LW winning a 3H LPS for us. Aub OC Malzahn was the OC at Ark in ‘06 under Nutt but left for Tulsa after ‘07. Ark (+7) upset Malzahn’s #19 undefeated Tulsa tm LY 30-23 but Tulsa had a 528-435 yd edge. Both tms have quick-striking offenses and thin defenses, so points will be plentiful and this could go down to the wire. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: Oregon at UCLA Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat) Play: UCLA (+6.5 -110) Line Source: BETUS Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT UCLA over Oregon - UCLA dropped their 1st game of the season at Stanford last week giving us and the Bruins may see the return of starting QB Prince (139 ypg, 56%, 2-2 ratio) here after missing the last 2 gms with inj. #2 QB and LY’s starter Craft (195 ypg, 60%, 1-1 ratio) has played well in his absence. In a gm that featured as many punts as FD’s (22), the Bruins held the once high-powered Duck offense to just 148 ttl yds in the 16-0 victory at the Rose Bowl in ‘07. LY UCLA was +19’ on the road but only lost 31-24 as UO QB Masoli struggled in the passing game completing just 5 of 19 for 42 yds (UO did rush for 323 yds, 7.0).The Ducks continued their run with a convincing home win vs WSU a week after their domination of Cal. The visitor is 12-5 ATS in this series and the Ducks are 6-2 SU but UCLA is 13-4 as a HF and 17-5 ATS at home vs conf opp’s. While Oregon comes in off a pair of impressive wins this is their first road trip since getting held to 152 total yds at Boise. The Bruins defense is better than the Broncos. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: Bowling Green at Kent Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Kent (+4 -110) Line Source: PEPPERMILL Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT KENT ST Over Bowling Green - BG is 7-1 SU in this series and has won 4 in a row in Dix Stadium. Kent St is 4-18 SU on HC and 2-4 ATS as a HD. BG is 4-1 as an AF but 0-1 TY as we won a 3H LPS on Marshall (+3) over BG. Kent St is off a 31-15 loss at Baylor as a 21 pt AD. RB Terry, who replaced Jarvis (med RS), had his 2nd straight 100 yd gm and leads with 212 (7.9). True Fr QB Keith is avg 147 ypg (60%) with a 4-3 ratio despite only 1 start. BG lost to Ohio as a 4th down pass was deflected in the EZ with 1:40 left. BG had 26-13 FD and 474-419 yd edges but allowed a PR TD. QB Sheehan had a career high 390 yds and is avg 291 ypg (64%) with a 7-2 ratio. RB Geter leads with 291 (4.5). BG has the off edge (#83-116) but KS has the def edge (#93-114) although BG has played a much tougher schedule (#22-105). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: TCU at Air Force Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Sat) Play: TCU (-9.5 -110) Line Source: HILTON Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT Tcu Over AIR FORCE -The Horned Frogs know how to shut down the option as they have limited the Falcon rush attack to 146 yds below their ssn avg the last 3 years! LY AF was held to 161 yds with 111 coming on 2 runs and TCU won 44-10 (-19’) at home. Last time here, AF overcame a 14 pt 4Q deficit in their 20-17 OT win in one of Patterson’s toughest losses of his career. AF is #2 in the NCAA avg 292 ypg rush (4.6) but TCU’s rush D is allowing an NCAA best 47 ypg (1.8). LW TCU was in a flat-spot against SMU and it showed with the Frogs struggling early (trailed 7-6 late 2Q). Meanwhile, AF played its most important game of the year LW and lost in OT to Navy and will be in a flat spot TW. TCU is 6-2 ATS vs the Falcons and will remain undefeated with a comfortable win. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: Texas-El Paso at Memphis Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Texas-El Paso (-2 -110) Line Source: LEROYS Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT Utep Over MEMPHIS - UTEP was favored in both previous meetings (‘05 and ‘06), but the Miners were upset in both, losing by 13 ppg. UTEP has a bye on deck and is off a huge 58-41 upset win over #12 Houston. The Miners pounded UH on the ground as RB Buckram ran for a career high 262 yds (8.2!) and he now has 560 rush yds (7.2) after rushing for just 348 yds all LY. QB Vittatoe continues to struggle and is avg just 183 ypg (53%) with a 3-5 ratio. Although the numbers may not show it, the D may actually be improved. UTEP has faced 3 potent offenses (KU, TX and Hou), but held Buf and NMSt to just 297 ypg. Mem is off to a 1-4 start and HC West is feeling some serious heat. The Tigers must convert better in the RZ as they have settled for 5 FG’s in 15 redzone att’s. They did get RB Steele back LW, but he only rushed for 22 yds (2.8) vs UCF. Neither team can afford a loss and we expect a tight contest with the team that makes fewer mistakes getting the win. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: GA Tech at Florida St Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Florida St (-2.5 -110) Line Source: CAESARS Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT FLORIDA ST over Georgia Tech - Last year Bowden and the Noles lost to GT for the 1st time S/’75 (12-0 prior). The last 6 have been decided by less than 6 ppg. GT has never won in Tallahassee (0-6). LY FSU’s offense ran 9 plays from scrimmage in the 1st 15 mins for -18 yds and GT led 31-20 but lost QB Nesbitt to injury. FSU had a 2nd&gl from the 3 but fmbl’d into the EZ with :45 left losing 31-28 (+2’). This is GT’s 3rd road game in 4W. GT’s last trip here was ‘03 and they almost pulled a major upset losing 14-13 (+23’). Nesbitt is avg 142 ypg (51%) with a 3-2 ratio and has 363 rush yds (3.6). FSU is just 7-17 ATS as a HF with 2 outright losses TY. QB Ponder is avg 285 ypg (67%) with a 4-1 ratio. Surprisingly, GT comes in at 4-1 while FSU is 2-3 (0-4 ATS as a fav). GT has a solid offensive edge (#10-45) but FSU has the slight defensive edge (#31-41) and needs to circle the wagons. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matchup: Fresno St at Hawaii Time: 11:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Fresno St (-9 -110) Line Source: HILTON Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT Fresno St over HAWAII - UH has won 6 of the L/8 SU (3 in a row) and also 6 of 7 in Honolulu. FSU’s lone win during that stretch was a 27-13 (-13) victory here in ‘05. UH is 8-3 ATS in WAC HG’s and the visitor has covered the L/4 gms and is 3-1 SU. UH QB Alexander (358 ypg, 65%, 9-4 ratio) is OFY (knee) which is a huge blow meaning Moniz (73 ypg, 50%, 0-0 ratio) will need to step it up. He will have WR Salas who leads the NCAA with 150 rec ypg on 26 grabs (23.1). LW vs LT, UH was held without a TD for the 1st time S/’04 (62 gms). The road-weary Warriors spent 17 of 23 days away from home (3 consec AG’s) while Fresno is fresh off a bye and battled-tested having already played two BCS AG’s where they went nose-to-nose with Wisky (34-31 2OT, +7’) and Cincy (28-20, +7). FSU RB Mathews is 2nd in the NCAA in rushing with 592 yds (6.8, 5 TD’s) and despite having a stable of RB’s, HC Hill said he wants to give Mathews the ball as much as possible as he wants him to be the team’s “premiere back.” With Hawaii having our #111 rush D this game looks one-sided while on the other side of the ball Fresno’s D rates the edge vs Hawaii’s backup QB. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Member Plays Matchup: Ball State at Temple Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Temple (-13 -110) Line Source: HILTON Posted on: October 7, 2009 @ 1:48:09 PM EDT TEMPLE Over Ball St - First meeting. Ball St is 14-3 as an AD but is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. LW Ball St led Toledo 23-14 and after falling behind took a 30-29 lead with :42 left but all’d a 51 yd TD pass with :27 left. BS was outgained 479-310. The Owls have covered 3 straight and have won 2 straight MAC gms. LW they outgained EM 365-280, holding EM to just 50 yds rush (1.7). BS QB Page is avg 149 ypg (52%) with a 5-6 ratio but threw for 234 yds (2-1 ratio) LW. RB Lewis, who led the MAC LY has just 209 yds (3.0). Temple QB Charlton is avg 185 ypg (51%) with a 4-4 ratio, while their top 2 RB’s are Pierce with 364 (6.3) and Griffin with 198 (4.3). While the offenses are close, Temple has a HUGE def edge (#53-108) and that should have the Owls starting 3-0 in MAC play. The Owls defense is clearly perceived as the MAC’s finest and by already holding Buffalo to 13 and E Mich to 12 points they will now overmatch the Cardinals with their depleted O-line.
Doc Sports “The Magnificent 7” 6 Unit Play. #99 Take Fresno State -9 ½ over Hawaii (Saturday 11 pm ESPN Gameplan) Top Game of the Weekend. Fresno State 42, Hawaii 10. 5 Unit Play. #88 Take Minnesota -3 ½ over Purdue (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) Top Big 10 Selection. Minnesota 31, Purdue 20. 5 Unit Play. #16 Take Ole Miss +5 ½ over Alabama (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) Top Underdog Play. Ole Miss 24, Alabama 20. 4 Unit Play. #44 Take Under 48 ½ in Wisconsin @ Ohio State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Totals Play. Ohio State 28, Wisconsin 10. 4 Unit Play. #54 Take UCLA + 3 ½ over Oregon (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) UCLA 20, Oregon 17. 4 Unit Play. #69 Take Connecticut +8 over Pittsburgh (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Pittsburgh 24, Connecticut 21. 4 Unit Play. #86 Take LSU +7 ½ over Florida (Saturday 8 pm CBS) Now make it 33! LSU 28, Florida 24. Note: Bet this game early if you can, the line will go way down in Tebow is ruled out. 5 Unit Play. #118 Take Under 41 in Atlanta @ San Francisco (Sunday 4:05 pm Fox) San Francisco 17, Atlanta 14. 4 Unit Play. #106 Take Carolina -3 ½ over Washington (Sunday 12 pm Fox) Carolina 24, Washington 16. 4 Unit Play. #124 Take Seattle -1 over Jacksonville (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) Seattle 27, Jacksonville 17. Note: Line my change on this game with QB Hasselbeck's status, we still recommend the pick. 4 Unit Play. #126 Take Over 46 in Indianapolis @ Tennessee (Sunday 8:20 pm NBC) Indianapolis 27, Tennessee 24. Strong Opinion Plays: #54 Take Under 46 ½ in Oregon at UCLA #84 Take Under 48 in Michigan at Iowa #116 Take St. Louis +10 over Minnesota
BIG AL's 94% (16-1 ATS) NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR -- Saturday At 8 pm, our WAC Conference Game of the Year is on the San Jose St Spartans minus the points over Idaho. Last week, the Vandals won their third straight game (all upset wins), and it was also the fifth straight ATS win for them (including four outright upsets). Overall, it's Idaho's best start since it went 4-1 to start the 1994 season. But it's extremely hard for underdogs to keep pulling upset wins, and I expect Idaho to come back down to earth in San Jose on Saturday night. Consider that teams off three straight upsets are 1-16 ATS since 1980 vs. .500 (or worse teams) when priced from -24 to +10 points. The Spartans have won each of the past four meetings vs. the Vandals, and were 14.5-point ROAD favorites last season. Now, with Idaho having so much success against the spread in 2009, we get San Jose as a small home favorite. The Spartans also have a "rest" advantage as they had last week off, while Idaho played at home vs. Colorado State. San Jose falls into a 111-47 ATS system of mine that plays on certain rested home teams vs. conference foes, and the Spartans also fall into 83-26, 31-3 and 46-16 ATS systems. Lay the points with San Jose. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my top play on Saturday: It's my 5* College Football Game of the Month, and I'm 40-14 on my last 54 College Football 5* plays.
Norm Hitzges CFB Saturday 10-6 last week, but still 41-56 on year. NCAA Double Plays ·Oklahoma State – vs Texas A&M ·Oklahoma -25 vs Baylor ·Fresno -9.5 vs Hawaii ·Ole Miss +4.5 vs Alabama ·Temple -13.5 vs Ball State ·UConn +7.5 vs Pittsburgh Single Plays ·Iowa State -16 vs Wisconsin ·Wyoming +10 vs New Mexico ·Indiana +7 vs Virginia ·Arizona -3 vs Washington ·Arizona State -21 vs Washington State ·UCLA +3.5 vs Oregon ·Arkansas +2 vs Auburn ·Utah State -11 vs New Mexico State ·SMU +6.5 vs East Carolina ·Colorado +32.5 vs Texas ·North Texas +6.5 vs ULaL
EROCK MONEY Oreg St +2 Idaho +4 Marshall -4 Nebraska -3 (thurs WINNER) utah St -12 Vandy -10.5 FL Int -3.5
HERE IT IS, ALL THAT MATTERS... Spartan's Saturday Plays: Texas A&M +5.5 3* Kansas -19 3* Duke +15.5 2* Kansas St. +16.5 2*
Strike Point 3-Unit Play. #310 Take Illinois +4 over Michigan State (Saturday 10/10 - 12 p.m. EST) 5-Unit Play. #366 Take UCLA +3.5 over Oregon (Saturday 10/10 - 3:30 p.m. EST) 4-Unit Play. #355 Take Wisconsin +16 over Ohio State (Saturday 10/10 - 3:30 p.m EST) 4-Unit Play. #329 Take Alabama -5 over Mississippi (Saturday 10/10 - 3:30 p.m. EST) 5-Unit Play. #343 Take Stanford +1 over Oregon State (Saturday 10/10 - 7 p.m. EST) 4-Unit Play. #389 Take UTEP -3 over Memphis (Saturday 10/10 - 8 p.m. EST) 5-Unit Play. #340 Take Washington +3 over Arizona (Saturday 10/10 - 10 p.m. EST) 2-Unit Play. Take Houston/Mississippi State 'Under' 68.5 (Saturday 10/10 - 12:30 p.m. EST) 2-Unit Play. Take Georgia Tech/Florida State 'Under' 54 (Saturday 10/10 - 8 p.m. EST) 2-Unit Play. Take Michigan/Iowa 'Under' 48 (Saturday 10/10 - 8 p.m. EST)
Dave Malinsky Free Play 4* (#372) South Carolina -9.5 Rich Brooks and his Kentucky team are in one of the worst scheduling set-ups of the season this week. Not only are they off of back-to-back games against Florida and Alabama, the toughest two-game cycle any team will face, but they are also going on the road for the first time (the win over Miami O. at Cincinnati was a short bus ride, and there were far more Wildcat fans in attendance), to take on one of the freshest opponents they will face this autumn. To make matters worse, Brooks has gone 0-4 SU and ATS against Steve Spurrier in their head-to-head encounters, losing to the spread by 38.5 per game in the process. But that is not all, which is what makes this one easy to get to at the reduced tariff the markets have created. As if the scheduling dynamics were not enough for Kentucky, those back-to-back physical drubbings of the past two weeks have taken a particular toll on defense. They will have to make this trip without their best defender, CB Trevard Lindley, a second-team All-American LY, and also his partner at the other CB spot, Paul Warford. Not only does that force true FR Martavious Neloms and SO Randal Burden into the starting lineup, but it also means untested SO Taledo Smith and RS FR Cartier Rice will have to play major roles, since South Carolina is going to spread the field with multiple WR’s to attack those very weaknesses. With Stephen Garcia and the Gamecock offense growing by the week, the holes in the Wildcat defense can be readily exploited. It is not any easier for Kentucky offensively. South Carolina held N. C. State, Georgia and Mississippi to a combined 689 yards on only 41 first downs, with the Gamecocks fielding an aggressive group with the kind of team speed that makes driving the field difficult. And that defense will have plenty of energy here. While Kentucky has faced not only the two best teams in the nation the last two Saturday’s, but also two of the most physical, South Carolina will be playing for only the second time in 16 days, with the only game in that span a walk-over vs. South Carolina State. Without the ability to move the chains and control the ball the Wildcats force their own defense back onto the field too often, magnifying those weaknesses at CB, and we expect both physical and mental fatigue to become factors in the second half as this game breaks wide open.
Colin Cowherd's Sizzling 7 (I think he sucks in college and does ok in the pros) NFL New England (-3) over Denver Broncos 28-13 Carolina (-3.5) over Washington Redskins 27-12 Cincinnati Bengals (+8) vs Baltimore Ravens (Baltimore wins 26-24) NY Jets (-2) over Miami 27-9 Upset of the Week Atlanta Falcons (+2.5 over San Francisco., Atlanta outright 27-24) NCAA Football Mississippi Rebels (+4.5), Alabama wins by three "Best College Football Bet of the Year" Iowa -8 over Michigan (Iowa wins 34-21)
GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 10/10/09 - 12:00 PM double-dime bet 374 Arkansas 3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 373 Auburn GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 10/10/09 - 8:00 PM double-dime bet 390 Memphis 3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 389 UTEP GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 10/10/09 - 10:00 PM double-dime bet 339 Arizona -3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 340 Washington GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 10/10/09 - 8:00 PM double-dime bet 354 Florida St. -2.5 (-120) Bodog vs 353 Georgia Tech
Fezzik has 2 weight MOH LSU under Rice over EMU over ASU over Iowa St over Purdue Navy TeamTotal over 31 1 weight Temple over
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G 4* on Oregon State +1 (-110 betus) Oregon State got the signature win they needed last week by beating up on Arizona State 28-17 on the road. Now they return home ready to take the next step, a place where the Beavers have been very tough to beat this decade. Oregon State 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. The Beavers are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. Oregon State is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons. Head coach Mike Riley always has his team playing at their best this time of the season. It's not by chance, either, this guy is one of the most underrated head coaches in the country. Stanford is 1-1 on the road, losing at Wake Forest and beating Washington State, which was expected of course. OSU is finding their stride and will not be denied at home Saturday. Take Oregon State and the points. 4* on New Mexico State +12.5(-110 SIA) New Mexico State should not be catching double-digit points at home against a 1-3 Utah State squad Saturday. NMSU has put together 2 wins this season, including a big road victory at New Mexico. This team is improved under new head coach DeWayne Walker and they won't be folding against the Aggies Saturday. Utah State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. This team shouldn't be favored this heavily against anyone. New Mexico State is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Take New Mexico State and the points. 5* Gators/Tigers CBS Saturday Night Showdown on LSU +8(-109 at 5dimes) With the questions surrounding Tim Tebow, the clear play is on LSU Saturday. Even if Tebow does play, he won't be on top of his game. He'll be very rusty and worried about getting hit after suffering a concussion. LSU just keeps finding ways to win, and though they have not blown anybody out, you can't fault the Tigers for that. The Tigers have had this one circled on their calendars for a year, and when playing at home down in Baton Rouge, the place will be rockin' Saturday night. LSU's defense is ranked 16th nationally after allowing 14.8 points/game through four games, and this unit gives them a great chance to win outright Saturday. Charles Scott showed he could carry the load last week in their 20-13 win at Georgia, rushing for 95 yards and two touchdowns. QB Jordan Jefferson was calm under pressure, and that experience at Georgia last week will give him a lot of confidence heading into this SEC showdown. The Tigers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. Take LSU and the points. 5* Yellow Jackets/'Noles ESPN 2 Eruption Florida State -2.5(-110 at bookm) Florida State players will take it upon themselves to win this one for Bobby Bowden. This is only the second time in Bowden's tenure with the Seminoles that his team has started the season 2-3. He is getting drilled in the media this week, and now it's up to the players to right the ship against Georgia Tech Saturday in support of one of the best head coaches of all-time. FSU hosts Georgia Tech, a team they lost to 28-31 on the road last season. Now that they are more familiar with Paul Johnson's system, look for the 'Noles to stop his triple-option attack this week. Tech rushed for 288 yards on Florida State last year and still only managed to win by a field goal, so don't expect the Yellow Jackets to put up those kind of numbers on the ground again in the 2009 meeting. FSU is 6-0 SU in their last 6 home games vs. Georgia Tech and 12-1 SU in all meetings with the Yellow Jackets since 1992. So you can see how rare that loss really was to the Yellow Jackets last season. FSU is only giving up 3.0 yards/carry at home this season, so they are stopping the run very well. Their weakness is in their pass defense, but Georgia Tech only averaging 13 passing attempts/game. All factors favor the Seminoles, most importantly the motivational factor to win this one for their head coach. Take Florida State and lay the points.
Allen Eastman / ACEACE $300.00 Take ‘Under’ 55 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 10) This is somewhat of a rivalry game between two in-state schools. And as a result I expect it to be a bit harder hitting and a bit more of a “grind” than normal. But mainly I think that the Central Michigan defense is going to smother the Eastern Michigan offense. EMU recently lost do-it-all quarterback Andy Schmidt and their attack is in completely diarray. Without their quarterback, EMU will be forced to try to run the ball more and shorten this game.In the last two years there have been 108 and 93 points scored. But this year the total is still only in the 50’s? I smell something fishy. The ‘under’ is 23-10 when Eastern Michigan plays on turf and it is 5-2 when they are on the road. The ‘under’ is 16-7 when EMU is an underdog of 10.5 or more and it is 9-4 when Central Michigan is a home favorite. I like a big CMU blowout and this one to settle somewhere around 38-10. $500.00 Take ‘Under’ 46.5 Indiana at Virginia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 10) Weather could be a factor in this game and, even before I read the weather report, I had already liked the ‘under’ in this game. This is kind of an awkward nonconference matchup and neither one of these teams nor coaches is very familiar with the other’s system. I think that’s going to lead to both clubs “dancing around the ring” a bit and we should see a very low-scoring affair. Indiana has gone ‘over’ in three straight games. But they really do not have that strong of an offense and have been relying on the big play to get the job done. This team is just 72nd in the country in yards gained and just 73rd in points scored. Virginia is the same thing. They have gone ‘over in two of three games. But they are 118th in total yards and a terrible 104th in points scored. If you add up the average points scored by UVA and points allowed by Virginia you only get 43.9. If you do the same for the UVA defense and IU offense you still only get 49.4. That leaves us right around that 46.5 and that’s where the teams got the numbers. But what those raw stats don’t consider is the quality of opponent and opposing offense and defense that the clubs have played. Virginia has scored less than 20 points in eight of 10 games and Indiana has managed less than 24 points in seven of 10. $300.00 Take ‘Under’ 52.0 Ohio at Akron (6 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 10) This is really an important game for the Bobcats. But it’s going to be tough to go into the Rubber Bowl and get a win. This Ohio team scored 44 points in a shootout at Bowling Green last week but their veteran defense also got hit for 37 points. I think that they went back to the drawing board this week and got a lot of those problems corrected. They have faced two pretty good offenses (they played Tennessee the week before) and now I think that they will be able to slow down the Akron attack now that the Zips are without veteran quarterback Chris Jacquemain. Jacquemain has been suspended from the team and Akron has managed just 21 points per game in their last two outings. This team knows it won’t score as much as they were used to and will have to run the ball in order to keep this one close. I expect a very competitive game and I see these teams scoring three points per trip rather than seven. Ohio has been a good bounce back defense, going 1-4 against the total after giving up more than 280 passing yards. I think they come back strong and keep this one ‘under’. $600 Take #329 Alabama (-5) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 10) I simply think that Alabama is the much stronger team here. Nick Saban has his team going after a national title and I don’t think that they will slip up in Oxford. And all of the sharp money early in the week pushed this line up from 4.5. I’m going to follow that line movement because we’re still under that key number of a touchdown. This has been a really tight series lately but I actually think that the oddsmakers are trying to bait action on an inferior team (Ole Miss). This might be the best team that Alabama has had this decade and I just think that they are going to overpower an overrated Mississippi team. Ole Miss is a bit too much of a “finesse” team. And the last time Alabama faced a team like that (Arkansas) they won by four touchdowns. Alabama is 9-2 ATS as a favorite, 6-1 ATS on the road, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games. I think that the Crimson Tide get a “statement” win and I think that they take this one by double digits. $300.00 Take #391 Idaho (+4) over San Jose State (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 10) The Vandals are 5-0 ATS this year! So far Idaho has been the most profitable team in the country mainly because no one bets their games. A lot of people probably didn’t even know that they had a team! But they have started 4-0 and have been impressive while they are doing it. They actually covered three of their last four games to close last season so that’s an 8-1 ATS run for this program. San Jose State really is having problems moving the ball on offense.
Jeff Scott Sports 5 UNIT PLAYS SUN BELT GOY FIU -3.5 over WESTERN KENTUCKY The Hilltoppers have been outscored by 28.8 ppg and that includes a 21 point home loss to FCS foe Central Arkansas. That's pitiful. FIU may be 0-4 on the year but have taken on a tougher schedule than WKU and have been outscored by just 14.3 ppg in those games. FIU is clearly the stronger team in this one and my Power Ratings call for them to win by 15. I agree. OKLAHOMA -25 over Baylor The Sooners are 8-0 ATS atv hjome before BB road games and 9-1 ATS off a SU & ATS loss vs opponent off a DD win. Oklahoma has outscored their home opponents by a 109-0 count and will take on a depleted bears squad that may be down to their 3rd string QB again in this one. Last week they did beat lowly Kent State 31-15, but were still outgained by 50 yards in the contest. Now they take on an angry OU squad, off a loss, that may have Bradford back. Look for the Sooners to flex their muscles in this one and come up with a 30+ point win. 4 UNIT PLAYS Marshall -4 over TULANE After allowing Va Tech 52 points the Herd have since allowed just 16 ppg in their next three games and will take on a struggling Tulane offense that has scored just 11 ppg in their 3 games vs FBS teams. Marshall's offense is capable of scoring some points and will face a Tulane defense that has allowed 34.8 ppg on the year. Marshall has won 2 of their last 3 since the Tech game, including a road win over a memphis squad that is better than this Tulane team. Look for Marshall to continue their improved play as they win this one by double digits. My Ratings have the Herd by 13. 3 Team 10 Point Teaser-- Ole Miss +15, West Virginia PK & BYU -7 3 UNIT PLAYS TEMPLE -13.5 over Ball State BSU is 1-10 ATS as road dogs off BB SU losses vs an opponent off a SU ATS win. The Owls come in with one of the better defenses in the MAC and will be taking on a BSU team that is depleted along the OL. Temple has been dormats for years and this is their best team in a long time so look for them to go 3-0 in the MAC with ease here. ILLINOIS +4 over Michigan State 2 UNIT PLAYS Houston/ Mississippi State Under 68.5 PITTSBURGH -8 over Connecticut UCLA +3.5 over Oregon 1 UNIT PLAYS Georgia/ Tennessee Under 46.5 Wisconsin +16.5 over OHIO STATE 3 Team 6 Point Teaser--- Alabama Under 51, Pittsburgh -1.5, Washington +9
Shaker (Greg) triple-dime bet 354 Florida St. -3.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 353 Georgia Tech Analysis: NCAAF: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Florida State Seminoles - Florida State -3 -105 | Unit Value: 3 Unit "CIRCLE THE WAGONS" Game Date: 10/10/2009 Note: This game is available at +100 at some books. A nightime game in Tallahassee and Bobby Bowden has his back against the wall after two not so sporty losses at BC and South Florida. This is when his team performs the best and with all of the press on his ass about a number of things, his squad is likely to respond with a big win. They certainly of capable with a load of talent on the field and they proved they could play the big boys with a solid win at BYU. Ga Tech comes off a physical game at Miss State and they rely heavily on the run game. Reports from Florida tells me that Bowden and crew are going to clog up the line and make GT beat them through the air. This will be the 3rd Road Contest for the Yellow Jackets and in the previous 2 they have been outgained on offense. This setting Saturday Nite is not an easy one and especially on "Circle the Wagons" Nite. I am going to lay these small points
Leroy's Money Talks contest # of times each team was picked Selection # of Times Selected W VA -10.5 16 SYRACUSE +10.5 7 MICH ST -4.5 24 ILL +4.5 34 BOS COL +13.5 29 VA TECH -13.5 13 E MICH +22.5 5 CENT MICH-22.5 11 DUKE +14.5 14 NC ST -14.5 7 MARYLAND +10.5 13 WAKE FRST-10.5 24 INDIANA +6.5 33 VIRGINIA -6.5 9 PURDUE +3.5 29 MINN -3.5 36 CONN +7.5 62 PITT -7.5 13 MIAMI-OH +19.5 17 NWESTERN -19.5 11 IOWA ST +19.5 9 KANSAS -19.5 17 ALABAMA -5.5 60 MISS +5.5 58 BALL ST +13.5 7 TEMPLE -13.5 38 VANDY -10.5 12 ARMY +10.5 4 NEW MEX +9.5 6 WYOMING -9.5 32 HOUSTON +1.5 16 MISS ST -1.5 35 ARIZONA -2.5 58 WASH +2.5 27 BOWL GRN -3.5 4 KENT ST +3.5 51 STANFORD +1.5 45 OREGON ST -1.5 32 GEORGIA +1.5 44 TENN -1.5 10 MARSHALL -3.5 17 TULANE +3.5 6 KANSAS ST+16.5 8 TEXASTECH-16.5 10 COLORADO +32.5 19 TEXAS -32.5 9 GA TECH +2.5 19 FSU -2.5 35 WISCONSIN+16.5 62 OHIO ST -16.5 10 AZ ST -20.5 26 WASH ST +20.5 4 OHIO U -3.5 8 AKRON +3.5 11 UTAH -7.5 10 COL ST +7.5 21 OREGON -3.5 28 UCLA +3.5 56 W MICH +7.5 6 TOLEDO -7.5 46 KENTUCKY +9.5 14 S CAR -9.5 47 AUBURN -2.5 32 ARKANSAS +2.5 46 BAYLOR +25.5 9 OKLA -25.5 56 NAVY -11.5 14 RICE +11.5 7 TCU -9.5 48 AIR FORCE +9.5 3 E CAROL -6.5 7 SMU +6.5 31 FLORIDA -7.5 20 LSU +7.5 58 MICH +8.5 51 IOWA -8.5 17 UTAH ST -11.5 12 NM ST +11.5 10 UTEP -2.5 21 MEMPHIS +2.5 8 IDAHO +3.5 35 SANJOSEST-3.5 28 BYU -16.5 34 UNLV +16.5 6 FRESNO ST -8.5 64 HAWAII +8.5 16 FL INTER -3.5 28 W KENTKY +3.5 2 N TEXAS +5.5 9 UL-LAFYTE -5.5 5
Bryan Leonard 10/10 BRYAN LEONARD'S SATURDAY NCAA TOTAL DOMINATION 325/326 Miami Ohio at Northwestern The Redhawk offense which was shut out twice to start the season is showing signs of progress. At the forefront is freshman QB Zac Dysert who started the last two weeks against Kent State and Cincinnati. Dysert is averaging a full 1.2 yards per passing attempt more than season opening starter Daniel Raudabaugh with a quarterback rating of 20 points higher. While the season to date offensive numbers for Miami look weak keep in mind they have faced the terrific defenses of Kentucky, Boise State and Cincinnati. Against Western Michigan and Kent State the offense looked fluid and this Northwestern stop unit hasn't shown the ability to resemble the big three defenses Miami faced earlier. Defensively Miami has really struggled. The opposition has dominated field position in every game this season. Miami's opponents have started their drives on average at their own 36, 41, 49, 47 and 35 yard line. Keep in mind the FBS average is 31 yards. With Miami allowing 6.1, 7.5 and 7.1 yards per play against non-MAC opposition the Wildcats could be in for a record setting offensive performance. Northwestern has put up 24 points or more in every game this season. Over their last 20 home games they have averaged 27.4 points per game. If you throw out the two times they hosted Ohio State when they were held to 10 points a game you really see how explosive this team has been at Ryan Field Stadium. Defensively the Wildcats have allowed the questionable offenses of Eastern Michigan, Syracuse and Minnesota put up an average of 32 points per game against them. Miami's offense is on the rise and this Northwestern defense has shown no inclination to slow them down. That said, Miami's defense is allowing 5.28 yards per carry and 7.07 yards per pass attempt. With conference games on tap for both these squads look for the offenses to pad their stats as this one flies over the posted total. PLAY OVER
Michigan vs. Iowa (NCAAF) - Oct 10, 2009 8:00 PM EDT Premium Play Play Title Burns' Big 10 TOTAL OF THE YEAR (80% YTD) *Nat TV! Play Selected Total: 47/-104 I'm playing on Michigan and Iowa to finish UNDER the total. After putting up 30 or more points in each of their first four game, the Wolverines found the going much tougher last week, as they managed only 20 points in an overtime loss vs. Michigan State. Actually 20 points wasn't that bad, considering that the Wolverines managed only 251 yards, (a season-low) including a mere 28 on the ground. This week, they'll face an even tougher defense. The Hawkeyes' defense ranks third in the league allowing just 13.4 points. They also rank second with 14 forced turnovers. The fact that Iowa has not allowed a rushing touchdown in 33 quarters, dating to last season, says a lot about the type of defense this team is currently playing. Note that they held Penn State to only 307 total yards, forcing four turnovers. With that type of defense, it's no surprise that the Hawkeyes have seen four of their five games stay below the total. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a profitable 20-9 the Hawkeyes' last 29 lined games. While the Michigan defense (allowing 23.4 ppg) hasn't been as stout as the Iowa defense, the Hawkeyes aren't exactly explosive on offense. As usual, Iowa likes to run the ball. They've had more than 30 rushing attempts in all five games, averaging more than 35. They're only averaging 3.9 yards per carry though. That adds up to a lot of second and third downs, where the clock is still moving. QB Stanzi is certainly capable, as he demonstrated in last week's big performance vs. Arkansas State. That said, he's now got seven interceptions, to go along with his eight touchdowns. Ferentz knows how important this game is (Hawkeyes have never been 5-0 with him as coach, let alone 6-0) and he knows that if he can limit Stanzi's mistakes, his team has a great chance. As a result, I expect another fairly conservative offensive gameplan. These teams haven't faced each other since 2006. However, if we look at the three meetings from 2004-2006 we find that all three of them produced 47 combined points or less. Those three games averaged only 38.67 points, most recently a 20-6 "defensive battle" in October of '06. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here, with the final combined score staying beneath the generous number, the largest one Iowa has seen all year. *10 Top Big 10 Total
BEN BURNS Michigan vs. Iowa (NCAAF) - Oct 10, 2009 8:00 PM EDT Premium Play Play Title Burns' Big 10 TOTAL OF THE YEAR (80% YTD) *Nat TV! Play Selected Total: 47/-104 I'm playing on Michigan and Iowa to finish UNDER the total. *10 Top Big 10 Total
mike handzelek 10/10/09 Saturday, October 10, 2009 Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Houston U vs. Mississippi St (NCAAF) - 12:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -2.5/-110 Mississippi St Play Title: Matador Defense Exposed Plus 24-0 System Click Here to View Pick Analysis The most alarming fact in UTEP's 58-41 thumping of Houston is not the score. It definitely is the 305 yards rushing the Miners unleashed upon the matador defense of the Cougars. Today, they face a Mississippi State squad that should of upended L.S.U. a few weeks back. Houston does have a prolific passer in Case Keenum with a nice 13/2 TD/INT ratio but the pass defense he's up against limits opponents to 49% completions & 191 passing yards per game. When he entertains for the third staright week in Davis Wade Stadium @ Scott Field in Starkville, Mullen & his Dogs' are a solid 5-2 ATS. Now let's look at the seal this deal conference versus conference amazing fact. In the last 24 games Conference USA teams tangled with teams from the SEC, it's resulted in a 0-24 record for Conference USA. Despite losing line value from the opening mark, we're sticking with the Dogs'. The Mississippi State defense wins this one so our Matador Defense Exposed Plus 24-0 System says to put $200 on the Bulldogs. Handicapper: Mike Handzelek North Texas vs. UL Lafayette (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 6/-103 North Texas Play Title: Not Worthy False Favorite With 15-2 System Click Here to View Pick Analysis The Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns have had time to think coming off a bye week & are now set to take on The North Texas Eagles (I think I like their old Mean Green nickname better)@ Cajun Field in Lafayette. The problem here is with laying any kind of points with a team that plainly can't score. Against lined teams this season, they are averaging a super-anemic 6.67 PPG. We can't overlook non-opportunistic stat of -6 in turnovers the last 3 games put up by Louisiana-Lafayette. On the other side of the ball, North Texas QB Riley Dodge put up 313 yards passing while running for 57 himself against Middle Tennessee State. Don't forget that teams with 17 returning starters installed as a dog who face an opponent off back-to-back losses are 15-2 ATS away from home. We think this dog is clearly barking out loud as are Not Worthy False Favorite With 15-2 System play says to put up $200 on the Eagles of North Texas & let's buy to + 7 1/2 as we cash in this dog at OUR number. Handicapper: Mike Handzelek East Carolina vs. SMU (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 6.5/-104 SMU Play Title: Out Of Gas & On The Road In A Flat Spot Click Here to View Pick Analysis This title fits to the tee none other than Skip Holtz' Pirates of East Carolina. This happens to be the Pirates 4th road game in 5 weeks as they take on June Jones' charges @ Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. The Pirates are a PERFECT 0-4 ATS as road favorites of more than 6 and have now lost 12 of 18 ATS going back to the beginning of last year. June Jones has the surface edge taking on East Carolina who have natural grass @ Dowdy-Ficklin Stadium. The Ponies were young last season but now return 16 starters including 51 letterman to the roster & are ready to make a little noise in Conference-USA action. A big factor in the Mustangs 2 wins this season has been Miami transfer Shawnbrey McNeal in the backfield. They've beaten a good UAB team on the road and should have the home crowd riled up after not having a home game for over a month. June Jones always has a master gameplan awaiting through the air as he did @ Hawaii. I expect to utilize it when situations permit against a defense of East Carolina rated 118th in pass defense efficiency in Division I-A. Speaking of "D", S.M.U. has a defense rated #1 in interceptions with 12 thus far and that's good enough for us to pull the trigger on the Mustangs as our Out Of Gas & On The Road In A Flat Spot play. Be happy & buy to + 7 1/2 & put up $200 on S.M.U. Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Michigan vs. Iowa (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -8/-106 Iowa Play Title: Running Game Stuffer Play Click Here to View Pick Analysis The Michigan Wolverines have shown a little dependency on their run game. Word to your mother--Kirk Ferentz's crew are excellent run stuffers as they proved twice against Penn State in back-to-back years. You have that perfect setup here with Frosh Baby QB Tate Forcier invading tough Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City with no maturity in his resume'. The result will be turnovers as Michigan digs a whole they won't get out of by the 4th quarter. They've been fortunate enough by playing & winning 4 straight @ Ann Arbor. What happened when they go on the road for the first time? They lose to the Spartans and give up over 400 yards of total offense. If the Spartans found a way to control the Wolverines, think what Iowa will do. Michigan is giving up 31 PPG against legitimate opponents. Coach Rich Rodriguez is a putrid 1-10 ATS versus teams that have defenses who hold their opponents to 2 TD's or less. On the other side of the ball, QB Rick Stanzi seems to have the experience needed to take the Hawkeyes one step further. This is that perfect time for a statement to be made by Iowa that they may still be around for a Big Ten title game come November 14th when they invade Ohio Stadium in Columbus. Remember the Hawkeyes have been limping the last few games and now, Tony Moeaki, Bryan Bulaga & Derrell Johnson-Koulianos are ready with guns blazin'. Iowa has delivered BIG as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points going a red-hot 10-2 against the number. The bottom line says if the Spartans can run stuff Michigan & hold them to under 30 yards on the ground, Iowa will also be up to the task. Iowa goes and gets their 10th win a row as they pull away in the 4th quarter and chew up Michigan's desperation. Our Running Game Stuffer Play is to take the Iowa Hawkeyes for $200 but buy to -6 1/2. Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Arizona U vs. Washington U (NCAAF) - 10:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -3.5/-109 Arizona U Play Title: Running On Fumes Play Click Here to View Pick Analysis The Washington Huskies put a lot into that upset of USC and even more losing to Notre Dame on the road last week. They fit nicely into this system. When an overtime loser allows 35 or more points and are at home, they've gone a ticket-ripping 12-32-1 ATS. The Huskies go up against an Arizona team who already rushed for 900 yards winning 3 of their first 4 games. The Cats' are salivating after watching game film showing Notre Dame's 530 yards of total offense against the Huskies. Arizona's QB change to Nick Foles has been a change for the better as he was 25 of 34 for 254 yards & 3 TD's with no INT's versus Oregon State. We like the fact that the Wildcats had 2 weeks to prepare for this one and are up aginst a team that's running on fumes. In The Stats (ITS) shows Arizona dominating opponents to the tune of 412-288 total yards advantage. This is partly due to a very beefy offensive line that averages 6'5" & 313 pounds. The bottom line says Arizona is 6-0 their last 6 trips to Husky Stadium in Seattle and will win this one in a hard-fought game in the trenches. Smash-mouth football belongs to the Cats' as our Running On Fumes play says to take the Arizona Wildcats & buy down to -2 1/2 for $200.
Saturday 12-2 System Club play GC- On Saturday the NCAAF system club play is on Iowa. Game 386 at 8:00 eastern. These club plays are 12-6 overall since their inception. Tonight we go to Iowa and play on the most under rated,under the radar undefeated team in the nation. The Hawkeye's are a solid 5-0 this year led by Qb, R.Stanzi. They have played a tougher schedule than a Michigan team that is coming off a loss to a sub par Michigan.St team. That was the first road game for a Wolverine squad that opened 4-0,winning all four games against marginal teams. Last weeks defating overtime loss sets up Michigan in a solid system that has cashed 12 of 14 times since 1990. What we want to do is play against teams who won 3 or less games last year and today come in off 1 exact loss in overtime and are playing .400 or better ball. These teams just do not bounce back the following week. Iowa has a better defense and have won and covered 7 of the last 9 times as a favorite in this range. Those looking for some thing to Unload on I have a Triple angle ACC Goy that leads a solid overall card that features the dog of the week in a system that is 25-3. This dog will win outright. I also have the Blowout side of the week that will win just as easy as Oregon last week. Top plays are 7-2 the last 3 weeks and will do more damage on Saturday. For the System club play take Iowa. bol GC-
Street Rosenthal 3-0 last night, 10-2 the last 12 picks! *200 Mississippi +5 Every trend I have on this game signals an Ole Miss win! This is a great spot for Ole Miss today. Bama hasn't covered a spread in Oxford in decade. This is the biggest game of the year for the Rebels and look for Ole Miss to lay it all on the line in this must win match up. Let's look at some trends. Alabama is 0-7 ATS since 1980 in games 1-6 and previous opponent was Kentucky. Alabama is also 1-10 ATS since 1980 game 6 and opponents previous game was away. The League is 0-8 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since October 27, 2007 as a favorite vs. Mississippi. Bama is also 0-4 ATS (-8.5 ppg) since October 15, 2005 vs. Ole Miss. Don't forget, Nut has yet to lose a game at Ole Miss by more than 7 points! *200 Miami Ohio +19 Northwestern rallied last week and spent a lot of energy. This game is Miami Ohios 5t road game this year. They have played the likes of Kentucky, Cincinnati and Boise State. Yes, they are 0-5 and probably going to be 0-6 after today. However the trends support a cover. Let's look at some of those trends. Miami Ohio is 10-0 ATS since 1990 in game 6 and their opponent scored more than 14 points in their last game. Miami Ohio is 9-0 ATS since 1990 in game 6 as a dog and their next opponent conference is vs a MAC team. NorthWestern is 0-7 ATS since 1995 as Home Fav and opponent previously faced a team from the MAC conference. Look for an easy cover today as Miami Ohio shows up to play. *200 Houston +3 Houston was embarassed by UTEP last weekend and I look for them to come out today and show some pride. Miss St is one of the weakest teams in the SEC and will struggle to keep up with the speed of this explosive Houston team. Was Houston caught in a classic trap week? Probably so, and I look for them to rebound nicely today. In the last meeting, the Cougars enjoyed a 28-16 win against the Bulldogs in Starkville during the 2005 season. It was UH's second straight win and their sixth win in the last seven games in the series. The Cougars have enjoyed success on the road against Mississippi State, posting a 4-3 record in Starkville. I look for Houston to take the ball to the air against a weak Miss St secondary and get us the cover today. *300 South Carolina -9.5 The Gamecocks are no surprise to early season success as they hold a 16-5 record in the first 7 games of over the past 3 seasons. The Gamecocks must finish the year like they have started. The Kentucky Wildcats have yet to score a conference victory this season. The Wildcats scoring offense ranks next to last in the SEC averaging 25 points per game and their scoring defense ranks 3rd worse allowing 26.5 points per game. The trends are not good for Kentucky today. Let's take a look at them. Kentucky is 1-8 ATS since 1982 away in game 5 and they lost their previous game. Kentucky is 0-5 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since December 31, 2007 after a loss at home *300 Florida State -3 The trends aren't the only thing I am wagering on today. FSU is playing with revenge in mind today. Tech got the best of them last year and FSU will want to even that score. FSU will also play hard for their coach tonight as he has taken some bashing in the media al week. Let's look at some trends that favor our pick. Ga Tech is 0-7 ATS since 1982 in game 6 and away and they won their previous game. FSU is 4-0 ATS (+8.5 ppg) since October 02, 1993 vs. Ga Tech after an away game. *500 San Jose St -4 Anytime we see 25% of the public on a team and the line moving in their favor I am going to make it a big play. SJS has dominated this series and the Vandals are on a 3 game win streak. This streak will end here today as SJS will prove just to much to handle. SJSU is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points.
Northcoast Comp plays (phone) Earlybird: VT 4* power ply: Arkansas Underdog ply: Illini Economy#2 ply: Pitt Big Dog Ply: Army CUSA ply: UTEP B12 ply: Oklahoma
Jim Feist 10/10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jim Feist's 20-Star Mountain West Conference Game of the Year!CF (379) TCU VS (380) AIR FORCE Take: 20-Star (379) TCU Reason: Mountain West Game of the Year: TCU. It’s never easy to prepare for the Air Force ground attack, but TCU has experience: These teams met last season and the Frogs rolled, 44-10! TCU (4-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) has a powerful ground game of its own (200 yds rushing pg) and a fierce defense, just like last year. Coach Gary Patterson likes offensive balance and has a veteran attack with junior QB Andy Dalton (6 TDs, 2 picks, playing since his freshman season) and RB Joseph Turner. The defense dominated in a 14-10 win at Clemson. The Air Force Falcons come off a disheartening 16-13 OT loss to rival Navy. "We came here to win the football game. We did not do it. Physically, that was an extraordinary football game." TCU has the run defense to contain Air Force. Play TCU! Jim Feist's Inner Circle Game of the Month - Saturday!CF (335) NEW MEXICO VS (336) WYOMING Take: 5-Star (336) WYOMING Reason: Inner Circle Game of the Month: Wyoming. Wyoming (3-2) is playing decent for new head coach in Dave Christensen, who is demanding more physical play. They come home from a long road trip to Florida International last week, a 30-28 comeback. Christensen has brought in a no-huddle, up-tempo, spread offense, but he has no QB stablity. They have rotated QBs freshman Austyn Carta-Samuels (3 TDs, 1 pick) and senior Karsten Sween. New Mexico (0-5 SU/1-4 ATS) has been terrible under new coach Mike Locksley, a better recruiter than Xs and Os guy and it shows during their 0-5 start. They had a frustrating 20-17 home loss to rival New Mexico State, allowing a TD with 39 seconds left. The home team has far too much offense. Play Wyoming.
Cobrawins been on a good run (7-1) this week MLB Colorado -128 NCAA San Jose St -4 Oregon St +1 Houston +3 Wyoming under 47 Tennessee -1 buy the hook Florida St -2.5 buy the hook
Our Randizzle----- last year's superhero and benefactor of my new Lexus: Two stars: Tenn-1 Mich St. -3.5 Idaho +4 Wake F. -12 One star: La Tech+11 (lost) Indiana+7 Navy-11 Fla Int.-5
David Banks Saturday October 10, 2009 NCAA 12:00 Auburn - pts. 12:30 Kansas - pts 3:30 UConn. +pts. 3:30 Bama -pts. 6:30 Maryland +pts 7:00 TX. Tech -pts. 7:30 SMU -pts. 8:00 FSU -pts. MLB 6:05 Cards-160 9:35 Rockies -120
Kelso: 100 units Kansas -19 against Iowa State (this is a noon kick) 15 units Fresno State -10 5 units Vanderbilt -10 4 units Florida International -5 3 units Arizona State -21
Pointwise Phone Service -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4* OKLAHOMA, MISSISSIPPI 3* UCLA. FRESNO ST, TCU, ARIZONA ST, GEORGIA, OHIO ST, SOUTH CAROLINA 2* UCONN, IDAHO, SYRACUSE
RAS Totals for Sat: Hawaii U58.5 ToledoO60.5 SMU O52 New Mex ST U51 Temple U48.5 Stanford +1 all one unit
Randall the Handle Duke +15½ over N.C. STATE Duke Football isn’t exactly synonymous with success but getting 15½-points to a mediocre team like North Carolina State will always get my attention. The numbers for Duke the past five seasons are downright horrifying but this year’s team already has two wins but more importantly can actually score some points. Quarterback Thaddeus Lewis has played in every game with the Blue Devils since 2006 and has a legitimate shot of playing in the NFL. Lewis has a 7-2 touchdown to interception ratio and last week against #5 Virginia Tech, Lewis passed for 359 yards and almost led Duke to a stunning upset of the Hokies. An elite college quarterback like Lewis can do wonders for a team like Duke and this season the offense is clicking like never before. Through five games, Duke is averaging 28.4 points a game and leads the ACC in passing yards, a remarkable achievement for a team that won a combined five games from 2006 to 2008. North Carolina State meanwhile is 3-2 with their big win coming over Pittsburgh in Week 4. North Carolina State coach Tom O’Brien was hired from Boston College and after two seasons has an 11-14 coaching record and does not have a top 25 recruiting class to his credit. O’Brien inherited arguably the best quarterback in the ACC in Russell Wilson and frankly that’s why his record isn’t worse. Wilson will lead the Wolfpack to points against Duke but it’s the North Carolina State defense that ultimately will allow Duke to stay in the game. North Carolina State saw a passing offense for the first time last week and allowed Wake Forest’s Riley Skinner to throw for 360 yards and three touchdowns. Wake Forest is a good comparison to the Duke offense because Duke has almost no running game and will throw the ball regardless of the score. North Carolina State has better overall talent but after last week’s game Duke has shown it can hang with anybody in the ACC. North Carolina State certainly isn’t a team you can feel comfortable with laying better than two touchdowns, as its coaching is subpar and their defense struggles stopping the pass. Take the points and a Duke team that absolutely believes they can win this game. Play: #315 Duke +15½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2). Ohio -3.5 over AKRON Akron’s season was thrown a major wrench when the school dismissed third year starter Chris Jacquemain for the entire season. For MAC schools like Akron, stability at the quarterback position is so important and switching mid-season almost always has disastrous results. Matt Rodgers, Jacquemain’s replacement, has been dreadful so far, throwing for a measly 292 yards and four interceptions in two losses to Indiana and Central Michigan. Rodgers had never played a snap before these games and it’s safe to say he is totally unprepared to be a starter at the Division 1 level. Ohio isn’t a team with extraordinary talent but didn’t embarrass themselves against BCS opponents Tennessee and Connecticut earlier in the season. Ohio is led by former Nebraska coach Frank Solich, who has taken Ohio to a bowl game and is 17-16 in conference play since 2005. After employing the dreaded two-quarterback system for the first two weeks of the season, Senior Theo Scott won the job and has performed decently since. But this play really isn’t about Ohio. It’s about catching a team in disarray in Akron that will struggle mightily to win another game this season. This is a team that is dead last in the MAC in passing yards, can’t run the ball and gives up 30 points a game. Coach JD Brookhart was asked about the team’s morale and answered: “The psyche of the team is fine.” I call hogwash on that front and the fact he has any confidence in Quarterback Rodgers. It won’t be long before bettors will have to lay close to two touchdowns to bet against this team. Cash in now before the oddsmakers realize how bad a football team Akron really is. Play: #361 Ohio -3.5 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2). Soccer World Cup Qualifier USA +2.10 over HONDURAS The USA can clinch a place in next year’s World Cup with a road victory in Honduras, which should be a tight match. Honduras will also be looking to claim all three points but are in tough against a very good American side which boasts a mix of MLS stars and players currently playing in Europe. The US will most likely start the match taking a cautious approach as they will expect Honduras to come out strong in front of their supporters, however, the Americans are a very good counter attacking side and will do that in this match to claim a narrow victory. Sure the Americans will be without star striker Clint Dempsey but they have plenty of cover in his absence, as this American side is deep. Look for USA to clinch a place in next year’s World Cup with a solid road victory over Honduras at a very generous price to boot. Play: USA +2.10 (Risking 2 units). World Cup Qualifier England +1.55 over UKRAINE England has long qualified for the 2010 World Cup but that has not stopped them from playing their best squad, as will be the case here in Ukraine. Head Coach Fabio Capello will play his strongest team, as England attempts to go perfect in the qualifying round. They currently stand at eight wins and zero losses. England is firing on all cylinders and quite frankly is just too good a side for a desperate Ukraine to cope with. Ukraine needs this win if they have any hope of qualifying, as they currently sit in third place two points behind second place Croatia. Being desperate doesn’t translate to automatic wins especially when playing a powerhouse like England. England, who missed out competing in the European Championship a few year’s ago, are out to put the rest of the world on notice that they are once again a force to be reckoned with and one of the early favorites heading into next year’s World Cup in South Africa. Play: England +1.55 (Risking 2 units)