FSUsem's PreSeason Football Handicapping Thread (8/29 NFL)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Aug 17, 2009.

  1. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Placed a wager here and there in basketball and baseball over the spring/summer, but now I'm back.

    Hopefully this year will be as profitable as last year (especially the bowl season).

    :chatzy:



    Plays are listed on a confidence basis with a 5* play being the top-rated play.
     
  2. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    What was the formula you used again?
     
  3. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    Have you looked at Week 1 at all, or is it too early?
     
  4. Tricky Gator

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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    :bow:
     
  5. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    A little too early for me. I know I could just hedge if something happens between now and then, but I like placing wagers after knowing the possible injuries and depth charts.
     
  6. MBKRogers

    MBKRogers New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    Good luck this year Sem. Let's strap the man.
     
  7. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

     
  8. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    Are you talking about the ladder formula?
     
  9. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    Yes. I can't remember the sequence we refined it to.
     
  10. Corky Bucek

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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    Yeah you definitely killed it during bowl season last year. :chatzy:
     
  11. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    First bet of the season:

    **1st Half: Tennessee +3 (-115)

    The Titans 1st Team defense played ugly as hell in the first half against the Bucs. Collins had 2 picks. I think this is a similar situation to the Colts last night where Peyton had a terrible prior game. Tennessee knows their strength is their defense. Collins is going to want to show that their offense is just as good. I look for 14-10 Tennessee lead at the half.
     
  12. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    Hope you are right. I took Tennessee on the Money Line. I like Minnesota tonight too with all those QB's playing. I'd rather have Sage or Tarvaris in the 2nd half than whoever KC will be trotting out there.
     
  13. zscharps

    zscharps Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread

    John David Booty will be getting a lot of playing time in the 2nd half tonight. Sage will not play in this preseason game.
     
  14. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (Pick Tonight)

    Sem is hoping the Titans don't pull an AJ Feely on this last drive.
     
  15. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (Pick Tonight)

    Great defense Titans
     
  16. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (Pick Tonight)

    That was rough. I know you bet a lot and are used to the bad beats but that was pretty brutal.
     
  17. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (Pick Tonight)

    NFL: 0-1, -2.3



    Plays for 8/23

    **Jacksonville -3
    **Cleveland -3 (-120)
     
  18. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (8/23 NFL)

    NFL Preseason: 1-2, -2.5 stars
     
  19. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (8/23 NFL)

    ****Cincy -2.5
    **Miami/TB Under 37.5
    **Jax/Philly Under 38
     
  20. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (8/27 NFL)

    Not good in the preseason.

    2-4, -7.1
     
  21. Weedlord420

    Weedlord420 Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (8/27 NFL)

    they're not good bets man. coaches will straight up run plays that are 100% bound to fail (on offense and defense) just to evaluate one certain aspect. winning and scoring points/keeping the other team from scoring aren't the principle objective often enough.

    dont mean to sound like a lecture just my rationale for staying off preseason
     
  22. tnvols

    tnvols New Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Regular Season Football Handicapping Thread (8/27 NFL)

    six days my friend, six days.
     
  23. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    4 plays today...


    ***Seattle +3
    ***San Diego +3 (-120)
    **Detroit +3
    *San Francisco +7 (-115)
     
  24. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Hit the first of 4.

    3-4, -5.1 so far in the preseason
     
  25. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Perfect for the day with one push. Good sign during Week 3.

    5-4-1, -1.1
     
  26. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    **Denver -2