CHAMPS XVIII

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Stone Cold Steve Austin, Jul 6, 2022.

  1. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    Alabama Crimson Tide

    Hope Estrada can get a floater or two to drop from mid range to draw Clingan out a little more tomorrow. They’re going to eat up those slow euro step lay ups he and Sears try to do so often.
     
  2. jplaYa

    jplaYa CHAMPZY/SMOLTZY/CHELSEA
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    Gameday! Let’s go shock the world!
     
  3. Odin

    Odin social distancing since 1990
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  4. junior5

    junior5 @TrustyPatches’ granddaddy

    Yeah once we beat them he became a good guy in my book
     
  5. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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  6. RJF-GUMP

    RJF-GUMP Daubert Qualified in Cooler Thermodynamics
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    What a day to be alive. Need to cook something good to give me something to do leading up to the game. Might smoke a butt.
     
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  7. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    The wait is already excruciating
     
  8. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    Alabama Crimson Tide

    Work til 6:30est. FUCKKKKKK
     
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  9. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Driving back home from Nashville and a week in the Smokies. At least I'll be occupied for the next 6 hours.
     
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  10. DDB

    DDB Some men just want to watch the world burn
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    I was in the smokies last week.
     
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  11. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Beautiful time of year there with the trillium and dogwoods and redbuds in bloom. Lots of elk. Maybe saw one bear but it was so far across the field in Cades Cove I couldn't be sure. Gatlinburg is a nightmare
     
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  12. DDB

    DDB Some men just want to watch the world burn
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    Gatlinburg was a nightmare on spring break, we didn’t see anything at cades cove but elk
     
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  13. stric006

    stric006 Recovering Butter Beer addict
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    Working. Then watching the first game with a bunch of Aubs, but leaving to watch ours at home.
     
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  14. junior5

    junior5 @TrustyPatches’ granddaddy

    Chilling on the beach in Mexico till tip
     
  15. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    We're yall there before or after the big wind storm? We camped at Smokemont for the first few days and they had just finished clearing a bunch of down trees on the west side of the park. Spent Wed and Thurs camping at CC
     
  16. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    The Jeep outpost in Cades Cove is awesome.
     
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  17. DDB

    DDB Some men just want to watch the world burn
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    We were there like 3 or 4 days after the big wind storm, cause the cades was closed for a few days
     
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  18. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Damn, you're telling me I missed the chance to hit the Margaritaville daiquiri bar and go to Ripley's Saddest Aquarium in America with the one and only DDB? Devastating.
     
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  19. junior5

    junior5 @TrustyPatches’ granddaddy

    1E1518F7-2C0C-4554-B116-7D30D0D59A01.jpeg
    not too bad boys
     
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  20. stric006

    stric006 Recovering Butter Beer addict
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  21. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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  22. HtownTide

    HtownTide I make motion pictures. Space movies
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    Junior just in here dropping his nuts on all of us this morning
     
  23. i am a bammer

    i am a bammer Ben Eblen>Jamychal Green
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    Junior spent 300 dollars to go to Sandals Jamaica, calm down
     
  24. stric006

    stric006 Recovering Butter Beer addict
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    Only the finest for mom
     
  25. stric006

    stric006 Recovering Butter Beer addict
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    Rewatching the last 5 mins of UNC Bama. We were not in control of that game in the last 90 seconds. Thank you Withers for being a dumbass
     
  26. junior5

    junior5 @TrustyPatches’ granddaddy

    Vidanta Riveria Maya Grand Luxxe Beach Club
     
  27. LeonardWashington

    LeonardWashington Leader of Tuanon
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    demopolis
     
  28. junior5

    junior5 @TrustyPatches’ granddaddy

    Wtf is that?
     
  29. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  30. shivious

    shivious He thinks the carpet pissers did this?
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    Pretty cool having coffee one table away from Mark Few, Roy Williams, and Phil Martelli.
     
  31. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  32. Odin

    Odin social distancing since 1990
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    jfc really
     
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  33. Deuce

    Deuce Well-Known Member
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    Is there a prop bet on an Oats technical?
     
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  34. Deuce

    Deuce Well-Known Member
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    Kipp Kissinger did our GCU game. Him calling Edey v Burns will be fun.
     
  35. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    Alabama Crimson Tide

  36. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  37. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    Alabama Crimson Tide

    Day going so fucking slow.
     
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  38. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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    Bruce's Analysis: Alabama +11.5 -105

    Is there a case for Bama? The Crimson Tide are built a bit differently than the teams UConn has mashed thus far in the Dance. Adhering to modern analytic dictates, Bama either shoots threes or right at the rim with layups and/or dunks, as designed by Nate Oats; there is almost no intermediate shooting. This might be the only strategy that has a chance vs, UConn, as Donovan Clingan's defense around the bucket could thus by a bit mitigated, especially if he has to chase 6-11 Grant Nelson out to near the arc. If UConn can get spread defensively, Bama has a chance. Play Bama (NCAA at Glendale, Az)

    Chip's Analysis: Alabama +11.5 -105

    The Crimson Tide clearly have the ability to score enough to beat most teams, the question here is whether Nate Oats’ group can be patient and locked in defensively at the right times. Alabama will not be in the business of stopping UConn on every possession, but what we saw at points in the wins against both North Carolina and Clemson was enough defense to get the job done. When you factor in the way both Grant Nelson and Jarin Stevenson performed in the regional wins I think Alabama has bigs that will not be intimidated by Donvan Clingan’s presence at the rim. I like Alabama to be the first team to keep within single digits for the reigning champs.

    Grace's Analysis: Alabama +11.5 -105

    Models project this spread closer to 9. Alabama thrives on tempo, ranking 13th in country with 72.6 possessions per 40 min. UConn ranks 316th with 65 possessions per. Alabama's scoring from distance has only gotten better during the tournament -- the Tide are shooting 41.4% from 3 in their last four games. Between the pace and the elite scoring ability, the points are hard to pass up.

    Mike's Analysis: Alabama +11.5 -105

    My simulations make UConn -8 which is still a very healthy number for a Final 4 game. Alabama is one of the best Rim & 3 Rate teams in the country, and they achieve this with a unique blend of pace and size. I believe Donovan Glingan will struggle to play more than 25 minutes due to fouls and pace. With the game never really in doubt, a backdoor cover at 11.5 is well within the range of outcomes here. Take the points.
     
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  39. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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    UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: UConn is laying 11.5 points on BetMGM's Final Four odds board, about eight hours ahead of tip time. That matches the opening number, and the Huskies made a couple trips to -12.5 early in the week.

    Since Wednesday afternoon, Connecticut has been either -11.5 flat or -11.5 (-115). Spread tickets and money are just shy of 2/1 on the Huskies.

    Not surprisingly, the public betting masses are taking big 'dog Alabama (+525) on BetMGM's moneyline. Ticket count is 8/1 and money almost 4/1 on the Tide.

    BetMGM opened the total at 161.5 and made several trips to 160.5 throughout the week. It's at 160.5 now, though tickets are 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.
     
  40. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  41. Odin

    Odin social distancing since 1990
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    aight i'm tired of waiting. let's do this thing already.
     
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  42. The Milkman

    The Milkman Send lawyers, guns and money, shit has hit the fan
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    I hiked real Mexico this morning.

    Coatapec, Veracruz. Coffee capital of the western hemisphere. IMG_4185.jpeg
     
  43. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  44. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  45. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  46. shivious

    shivious He thinks the carpet pissers did this?
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  47. junior5

    junior5 @TrustyPatches’ granddaddy

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  48. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    Alabama Crimson Tide

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  49. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  50. junior5

    junior5 @TrustyPatches’ granddaddy

    You can’t touch Edey. It’s pathetic. Not his fault but he is one my least favorite players to watch ever
     
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