we saw what happened to NY with "super storm" sandy. No need for anything resembling a hurricane going towards the NE
Last 24 hours of model runs are starting to show it staying farther off the coast but the onshore flow is going to be interesting with regard to beach erosion, etc.
Outer Cape Cod will be fucked. Natural erosion takes about give or take 5 feet each year. Hasn’t been a hurricane since 1993 - it would be devastating on the ocean side of Cape Cod.
Spaghetti models have a lot of predictions of it going north and hopefully curving away from land. But the average line does not look good at all
Yeah this is what I was referring to. Last few updates it’s been south and west (almost flat) as opposed to what the models predicted the previous day
wow had no idea it was that bad on the regular. Yeah, that would be a rough time for them. How did that area fare with Sandy?
This is good but I’m not sure they are taking into consideration how a strong storm can erode the tracking influences. lomcevak
One of the fastest rapid intensifications of a storm ever. Buzz saw structure, good thing it's missing the islands to the north.
12z Euro wipes the Maine coast with a massive 966 mb low storm. (long range GFS has it much further east -- Newfoundland and such) Still too far out, obviously, but one to watch for certain. Spoiler
I feel like all the models having this thing turning away just means it’s coming right at us. It being a slow mover is going to be awful for flooding too
I have zero clue how this stuff works but I feel like this thing could just blast through the jet stream or whatever it is that's supposed to turn it north
For a swath of storms to be classified as a derecho, it must travel at least 240 miles and move at speeds of at least 58 miles an hour, though the winds are often more powerful.
last few GFS runs have had Lee skirting Cape Cod and either landfall in coastal Maine or the eyewall near the coast. Hope Boston is preparing for surge.