Notice how none cross the equator. https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/7079/historic-tropical-cyclone-tracks Spoiler: Tweet
As someone who went to the beach today right in the middle of that purple blob in SW Florida, that water is warm. More like mid August after warming all summer than early July.
yeah its been brutal, you know its bad when 93 feels like a nice spring day. Just mowed the yard this morning to get away from the worst of the heat, still melted, after having done the same thing cleaning the pool yesterday. Getting in the pool after makes the upkeep worth it though... *blessed*
V interesting map. Wonder what causes the purple in the dead center of the Gulf, and the green off the Yucatan and around the Texas border with Mexico.
El Niño may give a slower season or later like Ian last year. late September and a day later the first batch of cool dry air arrived
good point, that cool weather after Ian was wild, and much appreciated... the power outage after Charlie was just brutal, and I was very lucky to only be out for 5 days.
the timing of the cool front probably saved lives or at the very least prevented some hospitalizations , was perfect sleep outside weather
The heat levels the week after Irma hit Naples in 2017 was infinitely worse than Ian. House hit 93 inside without power, nearly broke me. Ian was a cakewalk in comparison.
This is borderline insane, water temp of 98F in early July? If the Saharan dust and El Nino lets up, a hurricane might explode in the warm waters of the Keys and southern Gulf.
is there any plausible explanation for this that isn't global warming? I'm far from a climate change denier, but such a huge jump year over year seems like it would be something else, like a volcano forming in Florida Bay or something (I'm kidding but you get the point). That's like Day After Tomorrow level changes
Was listening to something where they were discussing our government strategy at this point for climate anomalies is very much risk mitigation for the unknowns we’ll be dealing with because we’ve never experienced them. So that’s fun. 100 degree oceans in July is probably a good example of that.
Not saying that it has completely zero to do with El Nino (it may have some impacts on the trade winds over the Atlantic, as an example), but I don't think that it is playing a major role on the sea surface temperatures near the Keys. El Nino is still getting established, but we're coming off of three consecutive years of La Nina, and it takes more time to completely flip the switch from a typical La Nina pattern to more of an El Nino pattern. As an example, the ridge of high pressure bringing the heat to Texas (and in turn having some influence on the warmth over the Gulf of Mexico) during the past month or so is more typical of a La Nina year than an El Nino year.
I don't like that at all. It's so fucking hot in south florida you can't spend more than 5 minutes outside without needing a shower.
Happy to report that it only rained, fucking poured, while driving between stops, but weather was perfect while there. Temps were less than home, and while the water was warm, I did expect it to be warmer
Much worse this year. August is always peak heat, but it's felt like August now since Memorial Day. You can deal with extreme heat for one month, but three months is unbearable.