I think lawfully, may need to look it up, but pretty sure it would have been ok to shoot Mitchell dead where he was laying in that bed.
I think this weekend is solid. Sterling/Cejudo and Burns/Belal are super interesting to me, and the odds reflect that. Outside of Oliveira/Dariush, 289 is awful though.
This may be old news but I saw a tweet earlier where the Wonderboy/Michel Pereira got called off too. That would have been a fun fight to watch. Belal/Burns is a big fight for sure
Watching the embedded UFC vids and Gilbert Burns has absolutely no fear of Belal. Bet the house on Durinho.
I'm just getting into my research, but everything will revolve around Burns and Dober for me. I have very little interest in tonight, Cejudo/Sterling does absolutely nothing for me. But I'm a degenerate gambler so I'll still go through my entire process.
Reading up a bit on Belal I'm now way overconfident Burns wins. 10 out of Belal's last 12 wins have gone to decision. Burns stood toe-to-toe for 3 rounds with a natural 185er, who is bigger and more physical than Belal, in Chimaev. A Belal finish is extremely unlikely. So how does Belal win? Only way I see it is dragging Burns to the ground and laying on him for 3 rounds. Chimaev had issues taking Burns down and keeping him there, don't see Belal having much success with it. I think the fights stays standing for the most part and Durinho pieces him up. Burns was guaranteed a title shot but took this fight - on short notice - because he thinks it's easy money. I agree. I think the odds present great value. I'm not much of a gambler but I'm gonna have my friends place a nice wager on Burns for me, and will probably parlay him with Cejudo for a decent chunk. Embrace the cringe. Happy to hear opposing thoughts.
I agree with everything you said except this. I think Belal’s best/only chance is to catch Burns in a stand-up exchange, given Burns’ solid submission game and comfort operating off his back. In fact, I think it’s more likely we see Burns shooting takedowns. This is a very bad matchup for Belal.
While I agree he could always get caught, outside of Belal's last fight he hasn't had a KO/TKO win since 2016. If Burns really wants to avoid any hail mary shots from Belal I agree we could see him shooting. Is this a 5 rounder? That could help Belal's cause. I'm struggling to see why the odds are -125/+105.
Ok, feel pretty good about most of it now. Leaning Cejudo over Aljo. After talking with my other diehard UFC buddies, you can make an excuse for almost every Aljo win outside of the Sandhagen choke. I'll be 80/20 on DK, especially since they're the same price. 20% Sterling is really just insurance. I don't see any path where Belal beats Burns. Burns might be in 100% of my lineups. These two being nearly the same price is crazy to me. Andrade is a great DK scorer, ranks first tonight in fantasy points per win. I'll also be heavy on her. Evloev will style all over that kid. Even though he's a decision machine, I expect a few takedowns and a quick tap. Jourdain/Kron has me swimming. I feel like one of these guys will definitely be on the optimal lineup, but can't get a good feel on who it is. I might circle back to that later this afternoon. Dober's my dude. Frevola has been cracked several times. I'll be heavy on Dober. There's no world where Nzechukwu should be a heavy favorite. I'll take my chances and sprinkle Clark into a few lineups. Khaos either knocks you out early or slows down big time. Bedoya isn't a slouch. If he can dirty up the fight, get it on the ground, he could come through as a huge dog. He's on a nice win streak as well. Rodriguez doesn't score on DK, Jandiroba doesn't really either. But this is a pickem fight to me, and Jandiroba's ground game is getting much better. I'll save some salary here and roster her some. Also no planet where Parker Porter should be in the UFC, let alone be a favorite. Smith looks like a damn unit, and has finished his last 5 fights in the first round. Easy decision for me here. Hawes/Aliskerov has me a little concerned, but I'll be 80/20 Aliskerov. If Hawes wins, he'll be on the optimal for sure at 7.1k. Ribeiro/Holmes I know nothing about these two dudes. 2nd most likely fight to go the distance, and both were knocked out in the 2nd round of their last fight. Both are also big finishers. I'll likely pair Hawes with Ribeiro and Holmes with Aliskerov, but they'll both be heavily owned by me. Bullshit card, shouldn't be a numbered PPV. But there's money to be made. Let's get it.
I feel like Kron eventually submits him. I doubt Jordain can keep it on the feet long enough for a KO
I ended up putting a few lineups on Jourdain. Zero on Kron. He looked drunk all week and had his ass whooped by Cub Swanson last time out. We'll see. I don't feel great about it.
https://www.strfish.ga/2023/05/00f18f.html https://www.thestreameast.to/ufc/ufc-288-sterling-vs-cejudo/ https://www.viprow.nu/ufc-288-aljamain-sterling-vs-henry-cejudo-online-stream-1 https://v2.sportsurge.net/watch-15891-ufc-288-sterling-vs-cejudo https://mmabite.net/fight/ufc-288-sterling-vs-cejudo-live-streams-links
Outside of a top handful of guys the heavyweight divisions a burning dumpster full of diapers and Indian food. That's why it was smart for Jones to move up.
Tonight is just for fun. I have a real real real sweat for $200k tomorrow at the Wells Fargo Championship. Currently sitting 2nd out of 47,000. If any of you guys want to sweat it with me let me know and I’ll show my lineup. My DK currently shows winning $100,510.
Might have been a bit early but Jessica looked like shit. How the fuck are you going to wing shots while running at your opponent lol
Lando Donovan just messing with you. I've said it before, but I appreciate what you post. Just one of those nights.