I will be getting a lot of picks, as we play a ton in early season. I will post as they come in, but I'll warn you most picks are not made until gametime.
I don't like the A&M bet particularly. A&M has new coach out with Parkinson's. However, Liberty is Liberty and they lost top 2 scorers (one transfer, one injured knee). I'll ride with it though.
keep in mind that i won't be posting every pick we make so that it doesn't get found out that i am doing this and obviously due to the fact that many picks will be made late
11/11/11 5-4 Eastern Ill +15 W Air Force -11 W UMass -7 W Mich St +10 L Towson +33 L SD State -22.5 L Citadel +11.5 Marist +36.5 L Tennessee -14 W Louisville -26 W not a very good night.
no clue...they just seem like the two that are correct. seriously, I don't know shit in CBB...but this is my thinking.. Air Force -11 - never heard of their bb team and they're giving 11? I'll pass UMass -7 - they've been to final fours, I've heard of them...for them to be favored early season means they're playing a trash opponent IMO. Mich St +10 - they're playing UNC..they always limp into the tournament and go on a run, rarely start fast. UNC is a beast. Towson +33 - This just seems like a shit ton of points, I don't even know who they're playing, their FB team is halfway decent. SD State -22.5 - Similar to AFA only laying more points. Citadel +11.5 - The entire athletic program here is below average, no reason for me to back them. Marist +36.5 - never even heard of them. Tennessee -14 - team was better with Bruce Pearl. Louisville -26 - 26 is a lot of points to give, no way I risk this. it's science, you see?
In a way, your rationale is a good example of why cbb isn't as heavily bet. Hell, I get that there's some good info out there for picking cbb games, but still haven't really read too much about it to recognize a good play or make a smart, informed bet on it.
11/15 9-2 Miami FLA -8 W Stanford -7 W Oral Roberts -6 L Texas -15 L Drake +3 W Wyoming -6 W Fresno State +3.5 W Jacksonville St. +26 W Florida +10.5 W St. Louis -6 W VT under 141.5 W
So when you post these up and they've all moved one way or the other, or in Texas' case it is starting second half soon, would you still recommend playing if they're within a point?
i would recommend playing them still, even if moved a point. i am also posting for tracking purposes, so i realize that some games have already tipped.
Umm, I think you're 8-1 with Oral Roberts and Stanford left on the board. Texas was the only loss if I looked at them all right.
will have to make these plays sooner, lines moved quickly after them. ended up taking Texas' total points in their game, Florida at +10, the unders on drake & wyoming's games, and drake to win head up since they were +1 and even money on a win. love these plays, if for nothing else helps to give a point of reference or starting point for checking into some games to play.
The only result which changed was the VT under. If you play that at the new line after it moved, it is a loser. I still advocate playing these games even after line movement, especially on spreads above 6. Clubber is right...at the very least these picks give you a good point of reference.
11/16/11. 7-3 Indiana -4.5 W Buffalo -8 W Boise St. -8 W Pitt -13. L Creighton +3 W E Illinois +2.5 W San Fran -12. L Oregon St. -7. W Oral Roberts -16.5. W NC State -11 L
Looking like 1-1 if someone took the Buffalo game at -9.5 like i did. Had put the Buffalo game in on a small parlay w/ the indiana game, no big loss there. Indiana needs to continue to dominate Evansville though, went heavy on that one. Had went on OSU-UTSA (Roadrunners, bitch) to hit the over on the points, and damn if OSU didn't come out shooting cold in the first half. Looking like that one will finish around the 120's unless OSU picks it way up in the 2nd half.